Hōʻike ʻia ka dinamika o nā kumukūʻai no nā kāloti e:
— Ua manaʻo ʻia nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe no nā kāloti i ka hapa mua o 2022.
I Ianuali-Iune 2022, i loko o ka pōʻaiapili o nā kāloti i hōʻiliʻili ʻia i ka makahiki 2021, nā kumukūʻai no kēia ʻano mea kanu, e like me nā wānana o ka Expert and Analytical Center for Agribusiness "AB-Center", e kiʻekiʻe mau. hoʻohālikelike i hoʻokahi makahiki i hala. E like me ka dynamics pono'ī, i ka manawa i hōʻike ʻia, e ulu pū ka vector kumukūʻai. Aia paha ma ka waena o Malaki 2022, ʻoi aku ka nui o nā kumukūʻai kūʻai nui no nā kāloti ma mua o 28,0 rubles / kg (i ka hoʻomaka ʻana o Ianuali he 20,5 rubles / kg lākou me ka VAT, a ma ka hopena o ʻApelila e ʻoi aku ko lākou pae ma mua o 30,0 rub. /kg).
- Ua wānana ʻia ka nāwaliwali nui o nā kumukūʻai kāloti i ka manawa 2022/2023.
I ka hapa lua o 2022, me ka hoʻihoʻi hou ʻana i nā hōʻiliʻili, e hāʻule nui nā kumukūʻai no nā kāloti. ʻO ka piʻiʻana o nā uku e loaʻa i ka pōʻaiapili o ka hoʻonuiʻana i ka nui o nā wahi i lūlūʻia.
E hilinaʻi ka nui i ka nui o nā uku. Wahi a ka ʻikepili wanana mai AB-Center i hōʻike ʻia i loko o ka noiʻi, ʻo ka ʻohi kāloti i ka ʻoihana ulu mea kanu ma 2022 e hōʻea i kahi moʻolelo kiʻekiʻe o 976,1 tausani tons. Hoʻopili ʻia kēia leo i ka leo e hiki ai i kahi "pilikia overproduction".
Ua hoʻopaʻa ʻia ka moʻolelo ma mua i ka makahiki 2019, i ka wā i hōʻiliʻili ʻia ai ka 963,9 tausani tons. A laila, i ka mahina ʻo Kepakemapa 2019, ʻo nā kumukūʻai kūʻai nui no nā kāloti he 9,7 rubles / kg wale nō. No ka hoʻohālikelike, i ka mahina ʻo Kepakemapa 2020 ua hoʻonui lākou i 13,1 rubles / kg (ma 2020 ua hōʻiliʻili nui lākou - 817,7 tausani tons), i Kepakemapa 2021 - a hiki i 16,1 rubles / kg (ʻo nā hōʻiliʻili ma 2021 he 721,8 tausani tons).
Inā hiki ka nui o nā uku i nā kumukūʻai wānana, a laila hiki ke manaʻo ʻia ma ka mahina ʻo Kepakemapa 2022, e hāʻule nā kumukūʻai kūʻai i 10,0-11,0 rubles / kg. I loko o ʻOkakopa-Dekemapa 2022 a hiki i Mei 2023, e ʻike ʻia ko lākou ulu lohi (a hiki i 12,0-14,0 rubles / kg).
He wanana maʻamau kēia, aia mau ka hiki ke kūpono i nā kumu kūlohelohe a me nā ʻano climatic, a me nā mea maikaʻi ʻole. No ka laʻana, ua hoʻokumu ʻia ka wānana o ka hōʻiliʻili ʻana ma ka ʻoiaʻiʻo e loaʻa ka hua kāloti ma ka awelika o nā pae makahiki i nā makahiki 5 i hala. Inā kiʻekiʻe ka makahiki, a laila ʻoi aku ka nui o nā uku ʻoihana ma mua o 1 miliona mau tons, kahi e alakaʻi ai i kahi pilikia o ka overproduction, e hāʻule nā kumukūʻai kūʻai nui i 7-8 rubles / kg a ʻaʻole e ulu i ka wā āpau - a hiki i ke kauwela. o 2023. ʻO ka mālama ʻana i nā kāloti i ia mau kūlana hiki ke lilo i mea waiwai ʻole.
I ka manawa like, hiki ke hoʻololi i ke kūlana, inā ʻaʻole ʻae nā kumu kūlohelohe a me ka climatic i ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā wahi a / a i ʻole ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hua. A laila e hoʻomau nā kumukūʻai i nā pae kiʻekiʻe.